Wednesday, October 14, 2009

How to invest in gold and key price drivers

Gold prices surged to a record high above $1,070 an ounce as dollar weakness sparked buying of the precious metal as an alternative asset.

Following are key facts about the market and different ways to invest in the precious metal.

How do I invest?

SPOT MARKET Large buyers and institutional investors generally buy the metal from big banks.

London is the hub of the global spot gold market, with some $18 billion in trades passing through London's clearing system each day. To avoid cost and security risks, bullion is not usually physically moved and deals are cleared through paper transfers.

Other significant markets for physical gold are India, China, the Middle East, Singapore, Turkey, Italy and the United States.

FUTURES MARKETS: Investors can also enter the market via futures exchanges, where people trade in contracts to buy or sell a particular commodity at a fixed price on a certain future date.

The COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange is the world's largest gold futures market in terms of trading volume. The Tokyo Commodity exchange, popularly known as TOCOM, is the most important futures market in Asia.

China launched its first gold futures contract on January 9, 2008. Several other countries, including India, Dubai and Turkey, have also launched futures exchanges.

Exchange-Traded Funds: The wider media coverage of high gold prices has also attracted investments into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which issue securities backed by physical metal and allow people to gain exposure to the underlying gold prices without taking delivery of the metal itself.

Gold held in New York's SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed ETF, rose to a record high of 1,134.03 tonnes in June. The ETF's holdings are equivalent to nearly half global annual mine supply, and are worth more than $37 billion at today's prices.

Other gold ETFs include iShares COMEX Gold Trust, ETF Securities' Gold Bullion Securities and ETFS Physical Gold, and Zurich Cantonal Bank's Physical Gold.

BARS AND COINS: Retail investors can buy gold from metals traders selling bars and coins in specialist shops or on the Internet. They pay a small premium for investment products, of between 5-20 percent above spot price depending on the size of the product and the weight of demand.

Key price drivers

INVESTORS: Rising interest in commodities, including gold, from investment funds in recent years has been a major factor behind bullion's rally to historic highs. Gold's strong performance in recent years has attracted more players and increased inflows of money into the overall market.

US DOLLAR: The currency market plays a major role in setting the direction of gold, with bullion prices moving in the opposite direction to the US dollar.

Gold is a popular hedge against currency weakness. A weak US currency also makes dollar-priced gold cheaper for holders of other currencies and vice versa.

OIL PRICES: Gold has historicaly had a strong correlation with crude oil prices, as the metal can be used as a hedge against oil-led inflation. Strength in crude prices also boosts interest in commodities as an asset class.

POLITICAL TENSIONS: The precious metal is widely considered a "safe-haven", bought in a flight to quality during uncertain times. Major geo-political events including bomb blasts, terror attacks and assassinations can induce price rises. Financial market shocks, which cause other asset prices to drop sharply, can have a similar effect.

CENTRAL BANK GOLD RESERVES: Central banks hold gold as part of their reserves. Buying or selling of the metal by the banks can influence prices.

On Aug. 7, a group of 19 European central banks agreed to renew a pact to limit gold sales, originally signed in 1999 and renewed for a further five years in 2004. Annual sales under the pact are limited to 400 tonnes, down from 500 tonnes in the second agreement, which expired in late September.

Sales under the agreement were low in the later years of the second pact, however. Gold sales under the second CBGA totalled only 1,883 tonnes, down from 2,000 tonnes under the first agreement.

HEDGING: Several years ago when gold prices were languishing around $300 an ounce, gold producers sold a part of their expected output with a promise to deliver the metal at a future date.

But when prices started rising, they suffered losses and there was a move to buyback their hedging positions to fully gain from higher market prices -- a practice known as de-hedging.

Significant producer de-hedging can boost market sentiment and support gold prices. However, the rate of de-hedging has slowed markedly in recent years as the outstanding global hedgebook shrank.

SUPPLY/DEMAND: Supply and demand fundamentals generally do not play a big role in determining gold prices because of huge above-ground stocks, now estimated at around 158,000 tonnes -- more than 60 times annual mine production.

Gold is not consumed like other commodities. Peak buying seasons in major consuming countries such as India and China exert some influence on the market, but others factors such as the dollar and oil prices carry more weight.

Source:economictimes.com

Monday, October 5, 2009

Plan for a steady source of income

The economy is showing signs of a turn around and the worst may be behind us, but it is not too distant in the past that we heard of pay cuts and pink slips every other day. The loss of active income source or reduction in the monthly take-home was coupled with burgeoning costs of daily necessities .

It is in such tough times that one realises the importance of having a passive source of regular income. Gone are the days when only retirees would need a steady source of passive income. Individuals today are increasingly looking for options to supplement their active income by passive incomes such as rent, interest and dividend income.

Debt investments or fixed income instruments are the key sources of generating a regular income. Coupled with the fact that debt offers diversification and safety of capital, it proves to be an excellent case for investments . There are also a couple of other options from the mutual funds stable which can provide a regular source of income.

Here are some of the options available for a steady passive income:

Post office monthly income plan (POMIS)

The post office monthly income plan (POMIS) offers a fixed monthly return in the form of interest and you can deposit a maximum of Rs 4.5 lakhs and Rs 9 lakhs for single and joint accounts respectively.

The POMIS earns interest at eight percent per annum and though there are no tax benefits and interest is taxable , no tax is deducted at source on the interest.

The tenure is fixed for six years and there is a five percent payout in the form of bonus on maturity.

The POMIS can act as a safe source of additional monthly cash flow which can be either used to meet expenses or ploughed back into investments, depending on the situation.

Bank fixed deposit

Instead of opting for a cumulative deposit, you can opt for the monthly or quarterly interest payment facility .

Bank deposits are extremely low risk and offer good flexibility in terms of tenure, but there are no tax benefits (except five year deposits that qualify under Section 80C).

The interest rates are governed by the ongoing interest rates in the economy.

Corporate fixed deposit

Companies offer fixed deposits which usually provide a higher rate than bank fixed deposits, the reason being that they are unsecured and hence the risk is higher.

There are different options for payment of interest (monthly, quarterly etc) which can provide a regular source of income.

It is prudent to invest only in deposits of reputed companies with a superior credit rating.

Debt mutual funds

There are a wide variety of debt mutual funds such as liquid funds, short-term debt funds, income funds, and gilt funds.

These are distinguished by type, credit quality, nature of securities they invest in and length of maturity of the securities. These funds come with a dividend payout option which can be weekly, monthly or quarterly.

A portion of the total debt in your overall asset allocation can be invested in these funds to serve the dual purpose of allocation to debt as well as earning regular income.

However, you should be diligent to select the right fund based on the credit quality, average maturity of the securities and interest rate environment .

Monthly income plans of mutual funds

The monthly income plans (MIPs) usually invest 15-30 percent of the corpus in equity and the remaining in debt.

These plans have an option of monthly or quarterly dividend payment, though not assured.

With the markets gaining some momentum, these plans are back on track with respect to dividend payments.

Systematic withdrawal plans of mutual funds

A lump sum investment in a fund entitles you to withdraw regular amounts monthly or quarterly.

The returns are not assured and there may a risk of withdrawing capital itself if withdrawals exceed the returns. But it is tax-efficient as the returns are treated as capital gains.

There are other incomegenerating options such as Senior Citizens' Savings Scheme and annuities from insurance companies but these are more relevant after retirement.

While one must opt for growth of capital in the early stages of life, building up a stream of income which is not dependant on job, profession or business is equally important to provide for a rainy day.

Source:economictimes.com